雷德·海斯蒂（Reid Hastie）毕业于加州大学圣迭戈分校和耶鲁大学，在哈佛大学开始其学术工作，积极寻求校外研究的机会，在医院和法庭中展开关于医疗和法律决策的研究。他的研究兴趣在于认知心理学的方法和理论在判断决策方面的应用。他终生致力于现实情境中的研究，包括医疗决策、法律决策、天气预报、消费者和商业金融决策等领域。 罗宾·道斯（Robyn M. Dawes）于1958年获得哈佛大学哲学学士，后进入密歇根大学临床心理学系。两年后，他怀着对行为决策、社会互动和态度测量的兴趣进入了数学心理学系（1963年获得博士），并在数学方面完成了研究生教育。1985年秋转到卡耐基梅隆大学，在社会和决策科学系担任心理学教授，他现在是Charles J. Queenan，Jr. 大学的教授。道斯发表过150多篇论文、出版了6部书籍。

First Edition, Winner of the prestigious William James Award from the American Psychological Association An understanding of the principles of rational decision making can help students improve the quality of their lives. Intended as an introductory textbook, the material in Rational Choice in an Uncertain World is not only of scholarly interest, but practical as well. Created ...(展开全部)

In the second edition of "Rational Choice in an Uncertain World", the authors compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. They describe theories and research findings from the field of judgment and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergrad...(展开全部)

An urgent defense of reason, the essential method for resolving—or even discussing—divisive issues Reason, long held as the highest human achievement, is under siege. According to Aristotle, the capacity for reason sets us apart from other animals, yet today it has ceased to be a universally admired faculty. Rationality and reason have become political, disputed concepts, subje...(展开全部)

Manski argues that public policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. Failing to account for uncertainty in an uncertain world, policy analysis routinely misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Manski critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve both how policy research is conducted and how it is used by policy makers. Policy analysis, like all empi...(展开全部)

Is the world warming due to the Greenhouse Effect? Can nuclear weapon arsenals be relied upon without periodic testing? Is the world running out of oil? What action should be taken against an outbreak of foot-and-mouth or BSE? Why can't scientists provide certain answers to these and many other questions? The uncertainty of science is puzzling. It arises when scientists have mo...(展开全部)

在线阅读本书 When you think about it, being a manager means constantly having to make decisions. Who should you hire? What should your budget be? How should you handle this project? And even more critically, what should you do today? Decision making is one of those core skills that is assumed but rarely taught. Yet it is a complex behaviour and understanding more about how we do it...(展开全部)

Robert Rubin was sworn in as the seventieth U.S. Secretary of the Treasury in January 1995 in a brisk ceremony attended only by his wife and a few colleagues. As soon as the ceremony was over, he began an emergency meeting with President Bill Clinton on the financial crisis in Mexico. This was not only a harbinger of things to come during what would prove to be a rocky period i...(展开全部)

朱利安·巴吉尼（Julian Baggini） 英国哲学家、作家，《哲学家杂志》共同创办人、主编。著有畅销哲普图书《你以为你以为的就是你以为的吗？》《一头想要被吃掉的猪》《吃的美德：餐桌上的哲学思考》《好用的哲学》《简单的哲学》等。长期为《卫报》《独立报》《泰晤士报》《金融时报》等报刊撰稿，并担任BBC第四电台《在我们的时代》栏目的定期嘉宾。